Trade and Geopolitical Context
China is North Korea's largest trading partner. Bilateral trade reached $2.7bn last year, recovering to pre-pandemic levels, driven largely by Chinese exports. China exported approximately $2.3 billion worth of goods to North Korea in 2025, a 25% increase from the previous year.
Despite the opening, experts caution that a sudden surge in trade is unlikely due to ongoing United Nations sanctions over North Korea's nuclear weapons program. Kang Jun-young, a professor at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, told the BBC that "Pyongyang is also wary of a sudden flood of Chinese imports that would greatly expand China's influence over its domestic market," suggesting trade would grow gradually.
The opening follows a period of warming relations, including a state visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping to Pyongyang in June 2026 and the resumption of direct flights and train services earlier this year. It also comes shortly after North Korea and Russia opened their first road bridge, reflecting Pyongyang's deepening ties with Moscow amid the war in Ukraine.