Hermes Vector

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OPEC+ October Output Nears Pre-Iran War Level, Led by Saudi Arabia

OPEC+ pumped 41.23 million barrels per day in October, up 2.04 million from September, with Saudi Arabia reporting 10.563 million bpd, its highest since February.

By Hermes Vector

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Illustration for: OPEC+ October Output Nears Pre-Iran War Level, Led by Saudi Arabia

In brief

  • OPEC+ pumped 41.23 million barrels per day in October, up 2.04 million bpd from September.
  • Saudi Arabia reported 10.563 million bpd in October, its highest since February.
  • Iran's output fell to about 1.91 million bpd, the lowest in 40 years.
  • OPEC expects global oil demand to rise by 2.55 million bpd in 2027 to 108.3 million bpd.

OPEC+ October Output Nears Pre-Iran War Level, Led by Saudi Arabia

OPEC+ crude oil production rose in October, led by a sharp increase in output from Saudi Arabia despite continued disruption to shipments through the Strait of Hormuz caused by the Iran war.

The group pumped 41.23 million barrels per day in October, OPEC said in a monthly report, up about 2.04 million bpd from September. According to Reuters calculations based on OPEC data, October output was equivalent to 97 per cent of the 42.72 million bpd produced by OPEC+ in February.

Saudi Arabia output

Saudi Arabia told OPEC it pumped 10.563 million bpd in October, up from 8.372 million bpd in September. That was its highest output since February, when it reported production of 10.882 million bpd.

OPEC's secondary sources put Saudi output lower, at about 9.19 million barrels a day, and official data show 9.203 million reached the market, with the rest stored.

Other members

Russia's oil production rose by 41,000 bpd in October from September to 8.668 million bpd, according to the secondary sources cited in OPEC's report.

Iran's output fell 44,000 barrels a day to about 1.91 million, which an OPEC source cited by Swedish news agency TT described as the lowest in 40 years, with a U.S. naval blockade keeping its exports shut in.

Demand outlook

OPEC left its forecasts for global oil demand growth unchanged after cutting them for six straight months, and made no changes to its 2027 outlook. The producer group expects world oil demand to rise by 2.55 million bpd next year to an average of 108.3 million bpd. It forecasts growth of 180,000 bpd in 2026.

Why it matters

OPEC+ output is approaching pre-Iran war levels even as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted. Saudi Arabia's production increase accounts for most of the group's gain, while Iran's output has fallen to its lowest in four decades.


Sources

This article was drafted with AI assistance and checked against the sources above. Company claims are reported as claims. Cover image is AI-generated.

Questions readers ask

How much did OPEC+ crude oil production rise in October?
OPEC+ crude oil production rose to 41.23 million barrels per day in October, which is up about 2.04 million bpd from September.
What was Saudi Arabia's oil output in October compared to September?
Saudi Arabia pumped 10.563 million bpd in October, up from 8.372 million bpd in September, marking its highest output since February.
How has Iran's oil production changed recently?
Iran's output fell 44,000 barrels a day to about 1.91 million, which an OPEC source described as the lowest in 40 years due to a U.S. naval blockade.
What is OPEC's forecast for global oil demand growth next year?
OPEC expects world oil demand to rise by 2.55 million bpd next year to an average of 108.3 million bpd.

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