Storm Intensity and Track
According to the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami, Simon’s maximum sustained winds weakened to 120 mph on Sunday, though CBS News reported the figure as 115 mph in an update early Monday. The Los Angeles Times reported the winds at 125 mph on Sunday. The storm was moving northwest at about 5 mph. By Sunday afternoon, the storm’s eye was located about 45 miles south of Cabo Corrientes, according to the Associated Press, while CBS News placed it 45 miles southwest of Cabo Corrientes early Monday.
Philippe Papin, a senior hurricane center specialist, stated that the westernmost tip of mainland Mexico is the area most likely to get a direct hit from the system. "We’re expecting catastrophic wind and life-threatening storm surge impacts along that west-central coast of Mexico where the hurricane warning is currently in effect," Papin said. "They’re also getting very heavy rainfall associated with the storm that’s likely going to produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides in areas of higher terrain along the Mexican coastline, and there will be significant swells."
The National Hurricane Center forecasted that Simon would dump an additional 2 to 4 inches of rain, with some areas receiving up to 8 inches, in the states of Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit and Sinaloa through early Thursday. The center noted that "Isolated maximum storm totals of 30 inches are possible over portions of the states of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco."